Week 12 · NFL

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Miami Dolphins a 54% chance to beat New York Jets in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#30 AFC East

New York Jets

4% to make the playoffs

@

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadMiami Dolphins −1.5Model
Projected scoreNew York Jets 21 — Miami Dolphins 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Miami Dolphins by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter91 · TOSS-UP
91/ 100
CalmMayhem

New York Jets

46%

to win

Miami Dolphins

54%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New York Jets
vs
Miami Dolphins
#29Offense · EPA/play#22
#31Defense · EPA/play#26
#29Success rate#27

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

Miami Dolphins leads 28–26

Last met 2025 · New York Jets 10–34 Miami Dolphins— Miami Dolphins won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New York Jets is hearing

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

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