Week 13 · NFL

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Denver Broncos a 82% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

@

#14 AFC West

Denver Broncos

63% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDenver Broncos −12.5Model
Projected scoreMiami Dolphins 16 — Denver Broncos 28

Denver Broncos should handle it: 12.5-point edge, 82% to win.

Chaos meter35 · LEAN
35/ 100
CalmMayhem

Miami Dolphins

18%

to win

Denver Broncos

82%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Miami Dolphins
vs
Denver Broncos
#22Offense · EPA/play#10
#26Defense · EPA/play#6
#27Success rate#16

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

11 meetings since 1999

Miami Dolphins leads 7–4

Last met 2023 · Miami Dolphins 70–20 Denver Broncos— Miami Dolphins won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

What Denver Broncos is hearing

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