Week 6 · College Football

Hawai'i vs Arizona State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Arizona State a 84% chance to beat Hawai'i in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#96 Mountain West Conference

Hawai'i

1% to make the 12

@

#35 Big 12 Conference

Arizona State

8% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadArizona State −15.5Model
Projected scoreHawai'i 18 — Arizona State 34

Arizona State should handle it: 15.5-point edge, 84% to win.

Chaos meter31 · LEAN
31/ 100
CalmMayhem

Hawai'i

16%

to win

Arizona State

84%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Hawai'i
vs
Arizona State
#67Offense · EPA/play#89
#76Defense · EPA/play#44
#27Explosiveness#49
#85Success rate#104
46%Returning production70%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings all-time

Arizona State leads 5–2

Last met 2006 · Hawai'i 41–24 Arizona State (neutral)— Hawai'i won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Hawai'i is hearing

What Arizona State is hearing

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