Week 9 · College Football

Missouri vs Arkansas prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Missouri a 59% chance to beat Arkansas in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#28 Southeastern Conference

Missouri

13% to make the 12

@

#55 Southeastern Conference

Arkansas

5% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMissouri −3.5Model
Projected scoreMissouri 28Arkansas 24

A coin flip. The model nudges Missouri by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Missouri

59%

to win

Arkansas

41%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Missouri
vs
Arkansas
#35Offense · EPA/play#13
#10Defense · EPA/play#123
#76Explosiveness#23
#35Success rate#11
20%Returning production36%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

17 meetings all-time

Missouri leads 13–4

Last met 2025 · Arkansas 1731 MissouriMissouri won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Missouri is hearing

What Arkansas is hearing

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