#28 Southeastern Conference

Missouri

Projected 6–6 · 6 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Missouri win? The Ninjas project 6.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

13%

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#18

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff99%
W2@ Kansas64%
W3vs Troy89%
W4@ Mississippi St64%
W5vs Florida48%
W6vs Texas A&M36%
W7@ Ole Miss31%
W9@ Arkansas58%
W10vs Texas23%
W11@ Georgia19%
W12vs Kentucky75%
W13vs Oklahoma43%

Chaos meter51 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Georgia → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 13%
16-team field: 19%
24-team field: 28%
Win conference: 3%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 13% → 13%

Pre 13%Aug 13%

Up next

vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff· W199% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Missouri finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#21

+14.4 · off #47 / def #10

Talent composite

#22

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#20

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

20%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#47

EPA / play#35
Success rate#35
Explosiveness#76

Defense#10

EPA / play#10
Success rate#7

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.1★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.