Week 4 · College Football

Tulsa vs Arkansas prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Arkansas a 77% chance to beat Tulsa in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#93 American Athletic Conference

Tulsa

1% to make the 12

@

#55 Southeastern Conference

Arkansas

5% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadArkansas −11.5Model
Projected scoreTulsa 20Arkansas 32

Arkansas should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN
46/ 100
CalmMayhem

Tulsa

23%

to win

Arkansas

77%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Tulsa
vs
Arkansas
#99Offense · EPA/play#13
#68Defense · EPA/play#123
#52Explosiveness#23
#93Success rate#11
99%Returning production36%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

69 meetings all-time

Arkansas leads 51–16–2

Last met 2018 · Arkansas 230 TulsaArkansas won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Tulsa is hearing

What Arkansas is hearing

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