Week 10 · College Football

Air Force vs Army prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Army a 81% chance to beat Air Force in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#108 Mountain West Conference

Air Force

1% to make the 12

@

#66 American Athletic Conference

Army

4% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadArmy −13.5Model
Projected scoreAir Force 19 — Army 33

Army should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.

Chaos meter38 · LEAN
38/ 100
CalmMayhem

Air Force

19%

to win

Army

81%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Air Force
vs
Army
#20Offense · EPA/play#54
#136Defense · EPA/play#84
#98Explosiveness#126
#14Success rate#71
63%Returning production25%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

60 meetings all-time

Air Force leads 38–21–1

Last met 2025 · Air Force 17–20 Army— Army won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Air Force is hearing

What Army is hearing

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