Week 1 · College Football · Neutral site

Baylor vs Auburn prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Auburn a 69% chance to beat Baylor in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#42 Big 12 Conference

Baylor

8% to make the 12

@

#24 Southeastern Conference

Auburn

12% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadAuburn −7.5Vegas
Projected scoreBaylor 22Auburn 30

Auburn is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 69% on the model.

Chaos meter63 · LIVE
63/ 100
CalmMayhem

Baylor

31%

to win

Auburn

69%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Baylor
vs
Auburn
#51Offense · EPA/play#63
#83Defense · EPA/play#20
#43Explosiveness#122
#41Success rate#51
83%Returning production22%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

5 meetings all-time

All square 2–2–1

Last met 2025 · Baylor 2438 AuburnAuburn won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Baylor is hearing

What Auburn is hearing

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