Week 4 · College Football
Houston vs GA Southern prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Houston a 86% chance to beat GA Southern in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#18 Big 12 Conference
Houston
17% to make the 12
@
#111 Sun Belt Conference
GA Southern
0% to make the 12
The model's read
SpreadHouston −16.5Model
Projected scoreHouston 34 — GA Southern 18
Houston should handle it: 16.5-point edge, 86% to win.
Chaos meter28 · LEAN
28/ 100
CalmMayhem
Houston
86%
to win
GA Southern
14%
to win
Who wins?
Be the firstTap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksHoustonGA Southern#101Offense · EPA/play#45
#47Defense · EPA/play#130
#78Explosiveness#71
#79Success rate#45
105%Returning production92%
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Houston is hearing
What GA Southern is hearing
Get The Drop
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.