#20 Big 12 Conference
Houston
Projected 8–4 · 8.3 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
17%
Title
1%
Win conf
8%
SOS
#66
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs Oregon St94%
- W2vs Southern99%
- W3@ Texas Tech22%
- W4@ GA Southern87%
- W5vs UCF82%
- W6@ Kansas State43%
- W7vs Oklahoma State78%
- W8@ Utah40%
- W10vs Cincinnati78%
- W11@ Colorado70%
- W12@ West Virginia69%
- W13vs Baylor71%
Chaos meter47 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Texas Tech → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 17%
- 16-team field
- 25%
- 24-team field
- 38%
- Win conference
- 8%
- National title
- 1%
Rooting guide
Beyond Houston's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the BIG 12
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
Texas Tech46%
BYU22%
Utah21%
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
SMU17%
Washington17%
Florida18%
Iowa16%
The buzz
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Board 55 · Polls 51 · Model 57 · Updated Jun 21, 2026