Week 13 · College Football

Illinois vs Northwestern prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Illinois a 59% chance to beat Northwestern in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#29 Big Ten Conference

Illinois

14% to make the 12

@

#45 Big Ten Conference

Northwestern

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadIllinois −3.5Vegas
Projected scoreIllinois 28Northwestern 24

A coin flip. The model nudges Illinois by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Illinois

59%

to win

Northwestern

41%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Illinois
vs
Northwestern
#39Offense · EPA/play#84
#98Defense · EPA/play#80
#117Explosiveness#110
#15Success rate#60
53%Returning production68%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

119 meetings all-time

Illinois leads 59–55–5

Last met 2025 · Illinois 2013 NorthwesternIllinois won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Illinois is hearing

What Northwestern is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.