Week 5 · College Football

Purdue vs Illinois prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Illinois a 84% chance to beat Purdue in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#89 Big Ten Conference

Purdue

1% to make the 12

@

#29 Big Ten Conference

Illinois

14% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadIllinois −15.5Model
Projected scorePurdue 18Illinois 34

Illinois should handle it: 15.5-point edge, 84% to win.

Chaos meter31 · LEAN
31/ 100
CalmMayhem

Purdue

16%

to win

Illinois

84%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Purdue
vs
Illinois
#107Offense · EPA/play#39
#132Defense · EPA/play#98
#77Explosiveness#117
#73Success rate#15
54%Returning production53%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

100 meetings all-time

All square 47–47–6

Last met 2025 · Purdue 2743 IllinoisIllinois won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Purdue is hearing

What Illinois is hearing

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