#89 Big Ten Conference

Purdue

Projected 3–9 · 3 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Purdue win? The Ninjas project 3.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

<1%

SOS

#13

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Indiana State93%
W2vs Wake Forest47%
W3@ UCLA20%
W4vs Notre Dame2%
W5@ Illinois15%
W6vs Minnesota40%
W7vs Washington19%
W9@ Penn State11%
W10vs Maryland54%
W11@ Iowa13%
W12vs Wisconsin34%
W13@ Indiana2%

Chaos meter17 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Notre Dame → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 1%
16-team field: 2%
24-team field: 3%
Win conference: <1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 1% → 1%

Pre 1%Aug 1%

Up next

vs Indiana State· W193% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Purdue finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#90

-6.1 · off #104 / def #90

Talent composite

#54

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#99

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

54%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#104

EPA / play#107
Success rate#73
Explosiveness#77

Defense#90

EPA / play#132
Success rate#129

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

2.9★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.