Week 2 · College Football
Iowa State vs Iowa prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Iowa a 77% chance to beat Iowa State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#62 Big 12 Conference
Iowa State
4% to make the 12
#22 Big Ten Conference
Iowa
17% to make the 12
The model's read
Iowa should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.
Iowa State
23%
to win
Iowa
77%
to win
Who wins?
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksIowa StateIowaNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
70 meetings all-timeIowa leads 47–23
Last met 2025 · Iowa State 16–13 Iowa— Iowa State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Iowa State is hearing
What Iowa is hearing
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