#44 Big 12 Conference
Iowa State
Projected 6–6 · 5.7 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
5%
Title
0%
Win conf
2%
SOS
#30
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs Southeast Missouri State96%
- W2@ Iowa21%
- W3vs Bowling Green90%
- W4vs Utah32%
- W5vs West Virginia60%
- W6@ BYU17%
- W8@ Arizona25%
- W9vs Oklahoma State57%
- W10@ Baylor32%
- W11vs Cincinnati56%
- W12@ UCF46%
- W13vs Kansas State35%
Chaos meter36 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to BYU → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 5%
- 16-team field
- 7%
- 24-team field
- 14%
- Win conference
- 2%
- National title
- 0%
Up next
vs Southeast Missouri State· W196% WIN
Rooting guide
Beyond Iowa State's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the BIG 12
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
Texas Tech46%
BYU22%
Utah21%
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 49 · Polls 50 · Model 49 · Updated Jun 21, 2026