Week 11 · College Football

Purdue vs Iowa prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Iowa a 86% chance to beat Purdue in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#89 Big Ten Conference

Purdue

1% to make the 12

@

#22 Big Ten Conference

Iowa

17% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadIowa −16.5Model
Projected scorePurdue 18Iowa 34

Iowa should handle it: 16.5-point edge, 86% to win.

Chaos meter28 · LEAN
28/ 100
CalmMayhem

Purdue

14%

to win

Iowa

86%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Purdue
vs
Iowa
#107Offense · EPA/play#80
#132Defense · EPA/play#18
#77Explosiveness#134
#73Success rate#46
54%Returning production49%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

94 meetings all-time

Purdue leads 50–41–3

Last met 2023 · Iowa 2014 PurdueIowa won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Purdue is hearing

What Iowa is hearing

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