Week 10 · College Football

Sam Houston vs Jax State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Jax State a 79% chance to beat Sam Houston in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#128 Conference USA

Sam Houston

0% to make the 12

@

#101 Conference USA

Jax State

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadJax State −12.5Model
Projected scoreSam Houston 20 — Jax State 32

Jax State should handle it: 12.5-point edge, 79% to win.

Chaos meter42 · LEAN
42/ 100
CalmMayhem

Sam Houston

21%

to win

Jax State

79%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Sam Houston
vs
Jax State
#132Offense · EPA/play#53
#118Defense · EPA/play#70
#56Explosiveness#57
#125Success rate#47
90%Returning production84%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Sam Houston is hearing

What Jax State is hearing

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