Week 4 · College Football

Ball State vs Kent State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kent State a 59% chance to beat Ball State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#136 Mid-American Conference

Ball State

0% to make the 12

@

#133 Mid-American Conference

Kent State

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadKent State −3.5Model
Projected scoreBall State 24Kent State 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Kent State by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Ball State

41%

to win

Kent State

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Ball State
vs
Kent State
#133Offense · EPA/play#118
#87Defense · EPA/play#103
#29Explosiveness#15
#136Success rate#132
8%Returning production11%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

33 meetings all-time

Ball State leads 25–8

Last met 2025 · Ball State 1713 Kent StateBall State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Ball State is hearing

What Kent State is hearing

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