Week 6 · College Football

Sam Houston vs Liberty prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Liberty a 86% chance to beat Sam Houston in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#128 Conference USA

Sam Houston

0% to make the 12

@

#77 Conference USA

Liberty

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadLiberty −16.5Model
Projected scoreSam Houston 18 — Liberty 34

Liberty should handle it: 16.5-point edge, 86% to win.

Chaos meter28 · LEAN
28/ 100
CalmMayhem

Sam Houston

14%

to win

Liberty

86%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Sam Houston
vs
Liberty
#132Offense · EPA/play#68
#118Defense · EPA/play#106
#56Explosiveness#92
#125Success rate#52
90%Returning production100%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

All square 1–1

Last met 2024 · Sam Houston 20–18 Liberty— Sam Houston won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Sam Houston is hearing

What Liberty is hearing

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