#81 Conference USA
Liberty
Projected 8–4 · 8.2 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
1%
Title
0%
Win conf
22%
SOS
#135
Schedule & outlook
- W1@ James Madison17%
- W2vs Gardner-Webb94%
- W3vs Ball State89%
- W4@ Coastal Carolina63%
- W5@ Delaware59%
- W6vs Sam Houston87%
- W8@ Kennesaw St55%
- W9vs FIU70%
- W10@ New Mexico St70%
- W11vs Middle Tennessee87%
- W12vs Western Kentucky65%
- W13@ Missouri St64%
Chaos meter28 · CALM
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to James Madison → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 1%
- 16-team field
- 3%
- 24-team field
- 5%
- Win conference
- 22%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond Liberty's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the CUSA
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
Jax State1%
Kennesaw St0%
FIU0%
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
W Michigan1%
Purdue1%
Toledo1%
Stanford1%
The buzz
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Board 43 · Polls 39 · Model 46 · Updated Jun 21, 2026