Week 10 · College Football

South Alabama vs Louisiana prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Louisiana a 66% chance to beat South Alabama in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#106 Sun Belt Conference

South Alabama

1% to make the 12

@

#81 Sun Belt Conference

Louisiana

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadLouisiana −6.5Model
Projected scoreSouth Alabama 23 — Louisiana 29

Louisiana is the pick by 6.5, but it's live — 66% on the model.

Chaos meter67 · LIVE
67/ 100
CalmMayhem

South Alabama

34%

to win

Louisiana

66%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
South Alabama
vs
Louisiana
#75Offense · EPA/play#98
#121Defense · EPA/play#100
#100Explosiveness#96
#76Success rate#114
25%Returning production57%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

14 meetings all-time

Louisiana leads 10–4

Last met 2025 · South Alabama 22–31 Louisiana— Louisiana won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What South Alabama is hearing

What Louisiana is hearing

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