Week 7 · College Football

Troy vs Louisiana prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Louisiana a 59% chance to beat Troy in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#88 Sun Belt Conference

Troy

1% to make the 12

@

#81 Sun Belt Conference

Louisiana

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadLouisiana −3.5Model
Projected scoreTroy 24 — Louisiana 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Louisiana by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Troy

41%

to win

Louisiana

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Troy
vs
Louisiana
#114Offense · EPA/play#98
#51Defense · EPA/play#100
#40Explosiveness#96
#117Success rate#114
33%Returning production57%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

20 meetings all-time

Troy leads 12–8

Last met 2025 · Troy 35–23 Louisiana— Troy won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Troy is hearing

What Louisiana is hearing

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