#87 Sun Belt Conference
Troy
Projected 7–5 · 6.7 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
1%
Title
0%
Win conf
5%
SOS
#120
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs Sam Houston84%
- W2vs Alabama State92%
- W3@ Missouri11%
- W4@ Utah State44%
- W6vs Southern Miss69%
- W7@ Louisiana40%
- W8vs UL Monroe81%
- W9@ James Madison14%
- W10vs Louisiana Tech60%
- W11@ South Alabama49%
- W12vs GA Southern67%
- W13@ Arkansas St53%
Chaos meter28 · CALM
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Missouri → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 1%
- 16-team field
- 1%
- 24-team field
- 4%
- Win conference
- 5%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond Troy's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the SUN BELT
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 42 · Polls 40 · Model 44 · Updated Jun 21, 2026