Week 10 · College Football

Alabama vs LSU prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives LSU a 59% chance to beat Alabama in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#14 Southeastern Conference

Alabama

31% to make the 12

@

#13 Southeastern Conference

LSU

30% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadLSU −3.5Vegas
Projected scoreAlabama 24LSU 28

A coin flip. The model nudges LSU by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Alabama

41%

to win

LSU

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Alabama
vs
LSU
#38Offense · EPA/play#111
#28Defense · EPA/play#32
#48Explosiveness#75
#56Success rate#101
43%Returning production66%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

89 meetings all-time

Alabama leads 58–26–5

Last met 2025 · Alabama 209 LSUAlabama won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Alabama is hearing

What LSU is hearing

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