Week 11 · College Football

Texas vs LSU prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas a 56% chance to beat LSU in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#5 Southeastern Conference

Texas

48% to make the 12

@

#13 Southeastern Conference

LSU

30% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas −2.5Vegas
Projected scoreTexas 27 — LSU 25

A coin flip. The model nudges Texas by a field goal — 56% to win.

Chaos meter87 · TOSS-UP
87/ 100
CalmMayhem

Texas

56%

to win

LSU

44%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Texas
vs
LSU
#57Offense · EPA/play#111
#40Defense · EPA/play#32
#13Explosiveness#75
#94Success rate#101
28%Returning production66%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

16 meetings all-time

Texas leads 8–7–1

Last met 2019 · Texas 38–45 LSU— LSU won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Texas is hearing

What LSU is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.