Week 13 · College Football

Penn State vs Maryland prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Penn State a 77% chance to beat Maryland in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#16 Big Ten Conference

Penn State

25% to make the 12

#82 Big Ten Conference

Maryland

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadPenn State −11.5Model

Projected scorePenn State 32 — Maryland 20

Penn State should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN

46/ 100

CalmMayhem

Penn State

77%

to win

Maryland

23%

to win

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2025 efficiency · ranks

Penn State

Maryland

#30Offense · EPA/play#97

#46Defense · EPA/play#50

#101Explosiveness#41

#25Success rate#113

56%Returning production13%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

48 meetings all-time

Penn State leads 44–3–1

Last met 2024 · Penn State 44–7 Maryland— Penn State won

via Google News

What Penn State is hearing

What Maryland is hearing

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