Week 9 · College Football

Army vs Memphis prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Memphis a 59% chance to beat Army in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#66 American Athletic Conference

Army

4% to make the 12

@

#57 American Athletic Conference

Memphis

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMemphis −3.5Model
Projected scoreArmy 24Memphis 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Memphis by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Army

41%

to win

Memphis

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Army
vs
Memphis
#54Offense · EPA/play#24
#84Defense · EPA/play#78
#126Explosiveness#33
#71Success rate#39
25%Returning production12%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

5 meetings all-time

Memphis leads 4–1

Last met 2002 · Memphis 3810 ArmyMemphis won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Army is hearing

What Memphis is hearing

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