#71 American Athletic Conference
Memphis
Projected 8–4 · 7.6 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
3%
Title
0%
Win conf
10%
SOS
#104
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs Arkansas St84%
- W1@ UNLV56%
- W2@ Boise State36%
- W3vs UT Martin97%
- W5@ Charlotte86%
- W6vs UAB88%
- W7@ Tulane38%
- W8vs East Carolina60%
- W9vs Army61%
- W11@ South Florida38%
- W12@ Navy42%
- W13vs Temple78%
Chaos meter33 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Boise State → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 3%
- 16-team field
- 5%
- 24-team field
- 14%
- Win conference
- 10%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond Memphis's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the AAC
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 47 · Polls 43 · Model 49 · Updated Jun 21, 2026