Week 4 · College Football

Iowa vs Michigan prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Michigan a 75% chance to beat Iowa in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#22 Big Ten Conference

Iowa

17% to make the 12

@

#7 Big Ten Conference

Michigan

31% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMichigan −10.5Model
Projected scoreIowa 21 — Michigan 31

Michigan should handle it: 10.5-point edge, 75% to win.

Chaos meter50 · LEAN
50/ 100
CalmMayhem

Iowa

25%

to win

Michigan

75%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Iowa
vs
Michigan
#80Offense · EPA/play#47
#18Defense · EPA/play#52
#134Explosiveness#129
#46Success rate#33
49%Returning production40%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

64 meetings all-time

Michigan leads 45–15–4

Last met 2023 · Iowa 0–26 Michigan (neutral)— Michigan won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Iowa is hearing

What Michigan is hearing

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