Week 8 · College Football

Iowa vs Minnesota prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Iowa a 61% chance to beat Minnesota in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#22 Big Ten Conference

Iowa

17% to make the 12

@

#50 Big Ten Conference

Minnesota

5% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadIowa −4.5Model
Projected scoreIowa 28 — Minnesota 24

Iowa is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

Iowa

61%

to win

Minnesota

39%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Iowa
vs
Minnesota
#80Offense · EPA/play#105
#18Defense · EPA/play#69
#134Explosiveness#125
#46Success rate#102
49%Returning production44%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

118 meetings all-time

Minnesota leads 62–54–2

Last met 2025 · Iowa 41–3 Minnesota— Iowa won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Iowa is hearing

What Minnesota is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.