#50 Big Ten Conference

Minnesota

Projected 6–6 · 6 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Minnesota win? The Ninjas project 6.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

<1%

SOS

#16

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Eastern Illinois97%
W2vs Mississippi St61%
W3vs Akron90%
W4@ Washington21%
W5vs Michigan20%
W6@ Purdue60%
W8vs Iowa37%
W9@ Indiana5%
W10vs UCLA50%
W11@ Penn State20%
W12vs Northwestern55%
W13@ Wisconsin36%

Chaos meter33 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Indiana → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 5%
16-team field: 8%
24-team field: 13%
Win conference: <1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 5% → 5%

Pre 5%Aug 5%

Up next

vs Eastern Illinois· W197% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Minnesota finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#70

+1.5 · off #94 / def #33

Talent composite

#41

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#49

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

44%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#94

EPA / play#105
Success rate#102
Explosiveness#125

Defense#33

EPA / play#69
Success rate#85

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.1★ avg

Portal out

2.9★ avg

Net

-1

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.