Week 12 · College Football

Memphis vs Navy prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Navy a 59% chance to beat Memphis in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#57 American Athletic Conference

Memphis

3% to make the 12

@

#56 American Athletic Conference

Navy

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNavy −3.5Model
Projected scoreMemphis 24 — Navy 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Navy by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Memphis

41%

to win

Navy

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Memphis
vs
Navy
#24Offense · EPA/play#15
#78Defense · EPA/play#110
#33Explosiveness#66
#39Success rate#9
12%Returning production97%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

11 meetings all-time

Memphis leads 6–5

Last met 2025 · Memphis 17–28 Navy— Navy won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Memphis is hearing

What Navy is hearing

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