Week 9 · College Football · Neutral site

Notre Dame vs Navy prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Notre Dame a 97% chance to beat Navy in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#1 FBS Independent

Notre Dame

82% to make the 12

@

#56 American Athletic Conference

Navy

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNotre Dame −28.5Model
Projected scoreNotre Dame 40 — Navy 12

Notre Dame is a heavy favorite — 97% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter6 · CHALK
6/ 100
CalmMayhem

Notre Dame

97%

to win

Navy

3%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Notre Dame
vs
Navy
#6Offense · EPA/play#15
#9Defense · EPA/play#110
#1Explosiveness#66
#24Success rate#9
37%Returning production97%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

98 meetings all-time

Notre Dame leads 84–13–1

Last met 2025 · Notre Dame 49–10 Navy— Notre Dame won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Notre Dame is hearing

What Navy is hearing

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