Week 12 · College Football

Hawai'i vs Nevada prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Hawai'i a 69% chance to beat Nevada in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#96 Mountain West Conference

Hawai'i

1% to make the 12

@

#127 Mountain West Conference

Nevada

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadHawai'i −7.5Model
Projected scoreHawai'i 30 — Nevada 22

Hawai'i is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 69% on the model.

Chaos meter63 · LIVE
63/ 100
CalmMayhem

Hawai'i

69%

to win

Nevada

31%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Hawai'i
vs
Nevada
#67Offense · EPA/play#127
#76Defense · EPA/play#91
#27Explosiveness#91
#85Success rate#120
46%Returning production66%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

27 meetings all-time

Nevada leads 14–13

Last met 2024 · Hawai'i 34–13 Nevada— Hawai'i won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Hawai'i is hearing

What Nevada is hearing

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