Week 13 · College Football

Air Force vs New Mexico prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New Mexico a 66% chance to beat Air Force in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#108 Mountain West Conference

Air Force

1% to make the 12

@

#87 Mountain West Conference

New Mexico

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNew Mexico −6.5Model
Projected scoreAir Force 23 — New Mexico 29

New Mexico is the pick by 6.5, but it's live — 66% on the model.

Chaos meter67 · LIVE
67/ 100
CalmMayhem

Air Force

34%

to win

New Mexico

66%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Air Force
vs
New Mexico
#20Offense · EPA/play#74
#136Defense · EPA/play#45
#98Explosiveness#55
#14Success rate#88
63%Returning production13%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

42 meetings all-time

Air Force leads 26–16

Last met 2025 · Air Force 3–20 New Mexico— New Mexico won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Air Force is hearing

What New Mexico is hearing

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