Week 5 · College Football

UTEP vs New Mexico prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New Mexico a 86% chance to beat UTEP in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#134 Conference USA

UTEP

0% to make the 12

@

#87 Mountain West Conference

New Mexico

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNew Mexico −16.5Model
Projected scoreUTEP 18 — New Mexico 34

New Mexico should handle it: 16.5-point edge, 86% to win.

Chaos meter28 · LEAN
28/ 100
CalmMayhem

UTEP

14%

to win

New Mexico

86%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UTEP
vs
New Mexico
#131Offense · EPA/play#74
#43Defense · EPA/play#45
#4Explosiveness#55
#135Success rate#88
100%Returning production13%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

70 meetings all-time

New Mexico leads 37–31–2

Last met 2022 · New Mexico 27–10 UTEP— New Mexico won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UTEP is hearing

What New Mexico is hearing

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