#134 Conference USA
UTEP
Projected 4–8 · 4 proj. wins
Call the season
How many games does UTEP win? The Ninjas project 4.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Playoff
<1%
Title
<1%
Win conf
<1%
SOS
#51
Schedule & outlook
Full schedule + record projection →- W1@ Oklahoma1%
- W2vs Texas Southern70%
- W3@ Michigan1%
- W4vs Oregon St35%
- W5@ New Mexico12%
- W6vs Nevada48%
- W7vs San José St41%
- W9@ North Dakota State55%
- W10vs Hawai'i23%
- W11vs Wyoming39%
- W12@ Air Force18%
- W13@ N Illinois41%
Path to the playoff
Playoff odds →- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Michigan → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- <1%
- 16-team field
- <1%
- 24-team field
- <1%
- Win conference
- <1%
- National title
- <1%
Our playoff odds call · month by month
▲0Last season
2025 · via CFBDWhere UTEP finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.
SP+ rating
#129
-17.5 · off #111 / def #127
Talent composite
#101
247 blue-chip composite
Recruiting class
#70
2025 signing class
Returning prod.
100%
of offensive production
Efficiency
2025 · national rank- EPA / play#131
- Success rate#135
- Explosiveness#4
- EPA / play#43
- Success rate#41
The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.
Offseason moves
2026 portal · via CFBDPortal in
21
2.9★ avg
Portal out
20
2.9★ avg
Net
+1
in − out
Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.
Rooting guide
Beyond UTEP's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the CUSA
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
Rivalries
The all-time series against the teams UTEP keeps playing.
The buzz
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Board strength 34 of 100 · polls say 37, our model says 32 · Updated Aug 17, 2026 · how this is built