Week 4 · NFL

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Minnesota Vikings a 71% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

@

#19 NFC North

Minnesota Vikings

27% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadMinnesota Vikings −7.5Vegas
Projected scoreMiami Dolphins 18 — Minnesota Vikings 26

Minnesota Vikings is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

Miami Dolphins

29%

to win

Minnesota Vikings

71%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Miami Dolphins
vs
Minnesota Vikings
#22Offense · EPA/play#28
#26Defense · EPA/play#4
#27Success rate#23

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings since 1999

Minnesota Vikings leads 4–3

Last met 2022 · Miami Dolphins 16–24 Minnesota Vikings— Minnesota Vikings won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

What Minnesota Vikings is hearing

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