Week 14 · NFL

Chicago Bears vs Miami Dolphins prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Chicago Bears a 74% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

@

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadChicago Bears −8.5Model
Projected scoreChicago Bears 26 — Miami Dolphins 18

Chicago Bears is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 74% on the model.

Chaos meter53 · LIVE
53/ 100
CalmMayhem

Chicago Bears

74%

to win

Miami Dolphins

26%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Chicago Bears
vs
Miami Dolphins
#8Offense · EPA/play#22
#19Defense · EPA/play#26
#9Success rate#27

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

6 meetings since 1999

Miami Dolphins leads 5–1

Last met 2022 · Chicago Bears 32–35 Miami Dolphins— Miami Dolphins won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Chicago Bears is hearing

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.