Week 16 · NFL

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Chicago Bears a 54% chance to beat Green Bay Packers in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#4 NFC North

Green Bay Packers

71% to make the playoffs

@

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadChicago Bears −1.5Vegas
Projected scoreGreen Bay Packers 21 — Chicago Bears 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Chicago Bears by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter91 · TOSS-UP
91/ 100
CalmMayhem

Green Bay Packers

46%

to win

Chicago Bears

54%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Green Bay Packers
vs
Chicago Bears
#4Offense · EPA/play#8
#22Defense · EPA/play#19
#5Success rate#9

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

56 meetings since 1999

Green Bay Packers leads 40–16

Last met 2025 · Chicago Bears 31–27 Green Bay Packers— Chicago Bears won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Green Bay Packers is hearing

What Chicago Bears is hearing

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