Week 17 · NFL

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Dallas Cowboys a 68% chance to beat New York Giants in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#22 NFC East

New York Giants

12% to make the playoffs

@

#10 NFC East

Dallas Cowboys

49% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDallas Cowboys −6.5Model
Projected scoreNew York Giants 19 — Dallas Cowboys 25

Dallas Cowboys is the pick by 6.5, but it's live — 68% on the model.

Chaos meter63 · LIVE
63/ 100
CalmMayhem

New York Giants

32%

to win

Dallas Cowboys

68%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New York Giants
vs
Dallas Cowboys
#17Offense · EPA/play#5
#25Defense · EPA/play#32
#25Success rate#6

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

55 meetings since 1999

Dallas Cowboys leads 32–23

Last met 2025 · New York Giants 34–17 Dallas Cowboys— New York Giants won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New York Giants is hearing

What Dallas Cowboys is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.