Week 10 · College Football

Iowa vs Northwestern prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Iowa a 59% chance to beat Northwestern in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#22 Big Ten Conference

Iowa

17% to make the 12

@

#45 Big Ten Conference

Northwestern

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadIowa −3.5Model
Projected scoreIowa 28 — Northwestern 24

A coin flip. The model nudges Iowa by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Iowa

59%

to win

Northwestern

41%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Iowa
vs
Northwestern
#80Offense · EPA/play#84
#18Defense · EPA/play#80
#134Explosiveness#110
#46Success rate#60
49%Returning production68%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

86 meetings all-time

Iowa leads 55–28–3

Last met 2024 · Iowa 40–14 Northwestern— Iowa won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Iowa is hearing

What Northwestern is hearing

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