Week 3 · College Football

New Mexico vs Oklahoma prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Oklahoma a 93% chance to beat New Mexico in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#87 Mountain West Conference

New Mexico

1% to make the 12

@

#12 Southeastern Conference

Oklahoma

22% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadOklahoma −22.5Model
Projected scoreNew Mexico 15 — Oklahoma 37

Oklahoma is a heavy favorite — 93% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter14 · CHALK
14/ 100
CalmMayhem

New Mexico

7%

to win

Oklahoma

93%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New Mexico
vs
Oklahoma
#74Offense · EPA/play#100
#45Defense · EPA/play#4
#55Explosiveness#65
#88Success rate#97
13%Returning production53%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

Oklahoma leads 2–0

Last met 1935 · Oklahoma 25–0 New Mexico— Oklahoma won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New Mexico is hearing

What Oklahoma is hearing

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