#12 Southeastern Conference

Oklahoma

Projected 7–5 · 7 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Oklahoma win? The Ninjas project 7.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

22%

Title

Win conf

SOS

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs UTEP99%
W2@ Michigan34%
W3vs New Mexico93%
W4@ Georgia30%
W6vs Texas28%
W7vs Kentucky85%
W8@ Mississippi St77%
W9vs South Carolina73%
W10@ Florida48%
W11vs Ole Miss61%
W12vs Texas A&M51%
W13@ Missouri57%

Chaos meter56 · HEATING UP

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Texas → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 22%
16-team field: 29%
24-team field: 42%
Win conference: 7%
National title: 1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 22% → 22%

Pre 22%Aug 22%

Up next

vs UTEP· W199% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Oklahoma finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#14

+18.3 · off #51 / def #4

Talent composite

#14

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#17

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

53%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#51

EPA / play#100
Success rate#97
Explosiveness#65

Defense#4

EPA / play#4
Success rate#2

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.3★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

-13

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.