Week 12 · College Football

Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Sam Houston a 59% chance to beat Middle Tennessee in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#132 Conference USA

Middle Tennessee

0% to make the 12

@

#128 Conference USA

Sam Houston

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSam Houston −3.5Model
Projected scoreMiddle Tennessee 24 — Sam Houston 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Sam Houston by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Middle Tennessee

41%

to win

Sam Houston

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Middle Tennessee
vs
Sam Houston
#85Offense · EPA/play#132
#111Defense · EPA/play#118
#79Explosiveness#56
#70Success rate#125
99%Returning production90%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

All square 1–1

Last met 2025 · Middle Tennessee 31–17 Sam Houston— Middle Tennessee won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Middle Tennessee is hearing

What Sam Houston is hearing

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