Week 8 · College Football

New Mexico St vs Sam Houston prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New Mexico St a 51% chance to beat Sam Houston in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#124 Conference USA

New Mexico St

0% to make the 12

@

#128 Conference USA

Sam Houston

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNew Mexico St −0.5Model
Projected scoreNew Mexico St 26 — Sam Houston 26

A coin flip. The model nudges New Mexico St by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

New Mexico St

51%

to win

Sam Houston

49%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New Mexico St
vs
Sam Houston
#128Offense · EPA/play#132
#41Defense · EPA/play#118
#58Explosiveness#56
#124Success rate#125
56%Returning production90%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New Mexico St is hearing

What Sam Houston is hearing

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