Week 5 · College Football

Boston College vs SMU prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives SMU a 88% chance to beat Boston College in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#99 Atlantic Coast Conference

Boston College

1% to make the 12

@

#23 Atlantic Coast Conference

SMU

18% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSMU −18.5Model
Projected scoreBoston College 17SMU 35

SMU is a heavy favorite — 88% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter23 · CHALK
23/ 100
CalmMayhem

Boston College

12%

to win

SMU

88%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Boston College
vs
SMU
#73Offense · EPA/play#22
#116Defense · EPA/play#11
#85Explosiveness#10
#61Success rate#54
62%Returning production50%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

4 meetings all-time

SMU leads 3–1

Last met 2025 · Boston College 1345 SMUSMU won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Boston College is hearing

What SMU is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.