#22 Atlantic Coast Conference
SMU
Projected 9–3 · 8.5 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
17%
Title
1%
Win conf
10%
SOS
#65
Schedule & outlook
- W1@ Florida State52%
- W2vs UC Davis99%
- W3@ Louisville49%
- W4vs Missouri St94%
- W5vs Boston College89%
- W7vs Virginia70%
- W8vs California77%
- W9@ Syracuse74%
- W10vs Virginia Tech80%
- W11vs Wake Forest81%
- W12@ Notre Dame6%
- W13@ Stanford81%
Chaos meter39 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Notre Dame → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 17%
- 16-team field
- 26%
- 24-team field
- 40%
- Win conference
- 10%
- National title
- 1%
Rooting guide
Beyond SMU's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the ACC
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
Miami58%
Clemson13%
Louisville13%
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
Houston17%
Washington17%
Florida18%
Iowa16%
The buzz
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Board 54 · Polls 51 · Model 56 · Updated Jun 21, 2026