Week 3 · College Football
The TailgateNinjas model gives North Texas a 61% chance to beat Texas St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#37 American Athletic Conference
North Texas
4% to make the 12

#78 Sun Belt Conference
Texas St
1% to make the 12
North Texas is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.
North Texas
61%
to win
Texas St
39%
to win
Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
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Pick this game against the spread
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
What North Texas is hearing
What Texas St is hearing
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What Texas St is hearing
What North Texas is hearing