Week 4 · College Football

Sam Houston vs Texas Tech prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas Tech a 99% chance to beat Sam Houston in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#128 Conference USA

Sam Houston

0% to make the 12

@

#11 Big 12 Conference

Texas Tech

51% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas Tech −38.5Model
Projected scoreSam Houston 7 — Texas Tech 45

Texas Tech is a heavy favorite — 99% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter1 · CHALK
1/ 100
CalmMayhem

Sam Houston

1%

to win

Texas Tech

99%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Sam Houston
vs
Texas Tech
#132Offense · EPA/play#23
#118Defense · EPA/play#2
#56Explosiveness#31
#125Success rate#50
90%Returning production59%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

Texas Tech leads 2–0

Last met 2015 · Texas Tech 59–45 Sam Houston— Texas Tech won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Sam Houston is hearing

What Texas Tech is hearing

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